Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.165991 7.889161 8.673486 9.590652 10.637922 11.801385 13.198531
2026-01-11 6.032715 6.962497 8.035648 9.377011 11.024438 13.002393 15.588573
2026-01-18 5.536147 6.605048 7.894691 9.587166 11.782946 14.582841 18.502538
2026-01-25 5.017357 6.135574 7.530342 9.430319 12.003182 15.445765 20.543824
2026-02-01 4.622570 5.770589 7.243228 9.314334 12.225509 16.290967 22.627215
2026-02-08 4.286020 5.445073 6.967947 9.169804 12.368064 17.008861 24.588352
2026-02-15 3.986699 5.141803 6.691319 8.986662 12.419286 17.575156 26.366134
2026-02-22 3.770907 4.933735 6.524858 8.937656 12.650192 18.420845 28.697596
2026-03-01 3.505358 4.637788 6.211542 8.642511 12.469014 18.583901 29.870610
2026-03-08 3.233244 4.316158 5.839968 8.229252 12.060592 18.324787 30.238838
2026-03-15 3.062615 4.129705 5.652531 8.081240 12.059609 18.738883 31.898019
2026-03-22 3.117575 4.271761 5.956442 8.718270 13.402790 21.621732 38.811709
2026-03-29 3.033954 4.208382 5.952534 8.873574 13.965789 23.220141 43.546114
2026-04-05 2.871902 4.018563 5.742733 8.675211 13.890634 23.618807 45.787339
2026-04-12 2.811785 3.979942 5.765454 8.865302 14.528658 25.473532 51.723384
2026-04-19 2.684514 3.830484 5.602357 8.723581 14.536626 26.062751 54.769569
2026-04-26 2.574665 3.702713 5.466647 8.618742 14.602458 26.776727 58.288643
2026-05-03 2.467628 3.574231 5.322523 8.488046 14.604353 27.351829 61.577320
2026-05-10 2.361200 3.441937 5.165135 8.322346 14.520927 27.727496 64.410310
2026-05-17 2.284622 3.354308 5.077700 8.277990 14.677197 28.662665 69.089145
2026-05-24 2.172216 3.203847 4.876959 8.010700 14.351082 28.438872 70.244491
2026-05-31 2.046976 3.028075 4.626089 7.635994 13.772965 27.557961 69.185109
2026-06-07 1.970790 2.930526 4.505581 7.501659 13.694315 27.876347 72.067534